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Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 2:1 VfB Stuttgart

FC St. Pauli Home 1.77 xG · 15 shots
VfB Stuttgart Away 0.88 xG · 8 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 35' Manolis Saliakas FC St. Pauli · 0.12 xG chance 1–0
  2. 55' Danel Sinani (pen.) FC St. Pauli · 0.82 xG chance 2–0
  3. 90' Jamie Leweling VfB Stuttgart · 0.04 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

FC St. Pauli VfB Stuttgart
Shots
15
8
On target
7
3
Inside the box
10
6
xG per shot
0.12
0.11
Open play xG
0.66
0.91
Set-piece xG
0.30
0.00
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.98 for FC St. Pauli and 0.88 for VfB Stuttgart.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

FC St. Pauli · Danel Sinani · 55' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 59' · No goal · 20 m · 0.37 xG VfB Stuttgart · Chris Führich · 12' · No goal · 3 m · 0.23 xG FC St. Pauli · James Sands · 63' · No goal · 4 m · 0.20 xG FC St. Pauli · James Sands · 42' · No goal · 9 m · 0.15 xG FC St. Pauli · Manolis Saliakas · 35' · Goal · 16 m · 0.12 xG VfB Stuttgart · Lorenz Assignon · 80' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG FC St. Pauli · Martijn Kaars · 19' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG FC St. Pauli · Arkadiusz Pyrka · 33' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG FC St. Pauli · Jackson Irvine · 84' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG VfB Stuttgart · Jeremy Arevalo · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG FC St. Pauli · Martijn Kaars · 83' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG FC St. Pauli · Danel Sinani · 23' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG VfB Stuttgart · Deniz Undav · 24' · No goal · 1 m · 0.05 xG VfB Stuttgart · Jamie Leweling · 90' · Goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Rasmussen · 9' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Martijn Kaars · 33' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG VfB Stuttgart · Chema Andrés · 90' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Arkadiusz Pyrka · 29' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG FC St. Pauli · Danel Sinani · 86' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG FC St. Pauli · Danel Sinani · 86' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG VfB Stuttgart · Jeremy Arevalo · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG FC St. Pauli · Karol Mets · 4' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 2.69 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • FC St. Pauli
  • VfB Stuttgart
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC St. Pauli

0.98 xG created 1.50 xGA

  • D 0.30 created, 1.12 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 0.89 created, 1.88 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • L 0.54 created, 3.20 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • D 0.26 created, 0.35 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • D 1.45 created, 1.09 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 2.43 created, 1.35 conceded against FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart

1.95 xG created 1.11 xGA

  • D 1.27 created, 0.13 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • W 2.60 created, 1.96 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • W 2.31 created, 0.98 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • D 2.05 created, 1.71 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • W 1.83 created, 1.17 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • W 1.62 created, 0.70 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC St. Pauli: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.