xgEdge

Friday, 23/01/2026 at 20:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 0:0 Hamburger SV

FC St. Pauli Home 0.26 xG · 8 shots
Hamburger SV Away 0.35 xG · 5 shots
00 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

FC St. Pauli Hamburger SV
Shots
8
5
On target
3
2
Inside the box
5
2
xG per shot
0.03
0.07
Open play xG
0.13
0.23
Set-piece xG
0.13
0.11
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.35 for Hamburger SV.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Hamburger SV · Damion Downs · 67' · No goal · 16 m · 0.12 xG Hamburger SV · Luka Vušković · 54' · No goal · 5 m · 0.09 xG Hamburger SV · Fabio Baldé · 45' · No goal · 21 m · 0.08 xG FC St. Pauli · James Sands · 63' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG FC St. Pauli · Louis Oppie · 79' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG FC St. Pauli · Arkadiusz Pyrka · 81' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Hamburger SV · Luka Vušković · 49' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Eric Smith · 76' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Danel Sinani · 79' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Hamburger SV · Fábio Vieira · 53' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG FC St. Pauli · Joel Chima Fujita · 63' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG FC St. Pauli · Eric Smith · 16' · No goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Pereira Lage · 26' · No goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

13 shots · 0.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • FC St. Pauli
  • Hamburger SV
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC St. Pauli

0.55 xG created 2.10 xGA

  • L 0.64 created, 2.30 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • D 0.14 created, 1.66 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • W 0.80 created, 2.44 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • D 0.30 created, 1.12 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 0.89 created, 1.88 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • L 0.54 created, 3.20 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV

1.05 xG created 1.28 xGA

  • W 0.98 created, 0.75 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • W 1.31 created, 0.71 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • L 1.38 created, 1.31 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • D 0.75 created, 1.59 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • L 0.66 created, 2.85 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • D 1.19 created, 0.47 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC St. Pauli: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.