TSG Hoffenheim 4:1 Hamburger SV: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim Home 1.31 xG · 10 shots

Hamburger SV Away 1.38 xG · 14 shots

41 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

8' Grischa Prömel TSG Hoffenheim · 0.09 xG chance 1–0
31' Ozan Kabak TSG Hoffenheim · 0.54 xG chance 2–0
65' Tim Lemperle TSG Hoffenheim · 0.23 xG chance 3–0
72' Fisnik Asllani TSG Hoffenheim · 0.20 xG chance 4–0
82' Rayan Philippe Hamburger SV · 0.18 xG chance 4–1

The shots behind it

TSG Hoffenheim Hamburger SV

Shots: 10; 14
On target: 6; 5
Inside the box: 9; 8
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.41; 0.49
Set-piece xG: 0.06; 0.07
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.46 for TSG Hoffenheim.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 2.85 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

TSG Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

TSG Hoffenheim

1.67 xG created 1.45 xGA

W 2.37 created, 1.11 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.23 created, 1.54 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 1.82 created, 1.81 conceded against RB Leipzig
D 1.38 created, 2.03 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 2.08 created, 0.96 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 1.14 created, 1.26 conceded against Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

1.35 xG created 1.38 xGA

L 2.77 created, 0.37 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 1.09 created, 3.72 conceded against 1. FC Köln
D 0.57 created, 1.03 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 1.36 created, 1.70 conceded against FC Augsburg
W 0.98 created, 0.75 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 1.31 created, 0.71 conceded against SV Werder Bremen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.