1. FC Köln 4:1 Hamburger SV: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 02/11/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln Home 3.72 xG · 23 shots

Hamburger SV Away 1.09 xG · 11 shots

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

25' Ragnar Ache 1. FC Köln · 0.47 xG chance 1–0
48' Florian Kainz 1. FC Köln · 0.09 xG chance 2–0
61' Jean-Luc Dompé Hamburger SV · 0.03 xG chance 2–1
90' Jakub Kamiński 1. FC Köln · 0.28 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Said El Mala 1. FC Köln · 0.66 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

1. FC Köln Hamburger SV

Shots: 23; 11
On target: 10; 5
Inside the box: 14; 10
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.10
Open play xG: 3.23; 0.86
Set-piece xG: 0.54; 0.23
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.82 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 4.86 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Köln

1.07 xG created 1.80 xGA

D 1.65 created, 1.50 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 1.70 created, 3.28 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 1.13 created, 1.87 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 0.94 created, 1.12 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 0.58 created, 1.12 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.39 created, 1.90 conceded against Borussia Dortmund

Hamburger SV

1.70 xG created 1.50 xGA

L 0.58 created, 2.54 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 2.35 created, 2.98 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
D 1.08 created, 1.37 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 1.91 created, 0.67 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 1.53 created, 1.06 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 2.77 created, 0.37 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.