RB Leipzig 3:1 1. FC Köln: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 18:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig Home 3.28 xG · 18 shots

1. FC Köln Away 1.70 xG · 13 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

13' Assan Ouédraogo RB Leipzig · 0.79 xG chance 1–0
23' Jan Uwe Thielmann 1. FC Köln · 0.29 xG chance 1–1
44' Rômulo RB Leipzig · 1.00 xG chance 2–1
45' David Raum RB Leipzig · 0.07 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

RB Leipzig 1. FC Köln

Shots: 18; 13
On target: 8; 2
Inside the box: 14; 8
xG per shot: 0.21; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.93; 1.39
Set-piece xG: 1.89; 0.34
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.84 for RB Leipzig and 1.70 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 5.55 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

RB Leipzig

1.52 xG created 1.18 xGA

L 0.54 created, 1.63 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 2.23 created, 1.02 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.79 created, 0.90 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Köln

1.71 xG created 1.31 xGA

W 1.36 created, 1.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 2.11 created, 0.91 conceded against SC Freiburg
D 1.65 created, 1.50 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.