VfL Wolfsburg 3:3 1. FC Köln: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 13/09/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg Home 1.50 xG · 14 shots

1. FC Köln Away 1.65 xG · 14 shots

33 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

5' Luca Waldschmidt 1. FC Köln · 0.77 xG chance 0–1
42' Mohamed Amoura VfL Wolfsburg · 0.21 xG chance 1–1
65' Lovro Majer VfL Wolfsburg · 0.32 xG chance 2–1
90' Maximilian Arnold VfL Wolfsburg · 0.05 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Jakub Kamiński 1. FC Köln · 0.13 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 1. FC Köln · 0.29 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

VfL Wolfsburg 1. FC Köln

Shots: 14; 14
On target: 6; 8
Inside the box: 9; 10
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.06; 1.64
Set-piece xG: 0.41; 0.07
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.50 for VfL Wolfsburg and 1.71 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.18 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Köln
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfL Wolfsburg

1.54 xG created 1.34 xGA

W 2.45 created, 0.72 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
D 0.62 created, 1.95 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Köln

1.73 xG created 1.22 xGA

W 1.36 created, 1.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 2.11 created, 0.91 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.