1. FC Köln 1:1 FC Augsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln Home 0.58 xG · 9 shots

FC Augsburg Away 1.12 xG · 10 shots

11 FC Augsburg had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

54' Fabian Rieder (pen.) FC Augsburg · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
76' Said El Mala 1. FC Köln · 0.04 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

1. FC Köln FC Augsburg

Shots: 9; 10
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 3; 2
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.31; 0.32
Set-piece xG: 0.25; 0.03
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.58 for 1. FC Köln and 0.33 for FC Augsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 1.73 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Köln
FC Augsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Köln

1.48 xG created 1.70 xGA

W 1.36 created, 1.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 2.11 created, 0.91 conceded against SC Freiburg
D 1.65 created, 1.50 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 1.70 created, 3.28 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 1.13 created, 1.87 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 0.94 created, 1.12 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim

FC Augsburg

1.05 xG created 2.28 xGA

W 1.34 created, 2.60 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.51 created, 4.24 conceded against FC Bayern München
L 0.78 created, 1.90 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 1.12 created, 2.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 0.82 created, 1.24 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.71 created, 1.19 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.