TSG Hoffenheim 3:1 RB Leipzig: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 08/11/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim Home 1.82 xG · 12 shots

RB Leipzig Away 1.81 xG · 17 shots

31 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

9' Yan Diomande RB Leipzig · 0.32 xG chance 0–1
20' Albian Hajdari TSG Hoffenheim · 1.00 xG chance 1–1
38' Tim Lemperle TSG Hoffenheim · 0.04 xG chance 2–1
79' Grischa Prömel TSG Hoffenheim · 0.16 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

TSG Hoffenheim RB Leipzig

Shots: 12; 17
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 7; 10
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.67; 1.49
Set-piece xG: 1.18; 0.26
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.82 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.76 for RB Leipzig.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 3.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

TSG Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

TSG Hoffenheim

1.72 xG created 1.49 xGA

L 0.75 created, 3.04 conceded against FC Bayern München
D 2.54 created, 1.31 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 1.12 created, 0.94 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 2.34 created, 0.99 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.37 created, 1.11 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.23 created, 1.54 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig

2.12 xG created 1.57 xGA

W 3.28 created, 1.70 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 2.41 created, 3.05 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
D 1.09 created, 0.89 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 1.06 created, 1.53 conceded against Hamburger SV
W 2.77 created, 0.73 conceded against FC Augsburg
W 2.09 created, 1.49 conceded against VfB Stuttgart

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.