1. FC Köln 1:1 FC St. Pauli: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln Home 1.66 xG · 11 shots

FC St. Pauli Away 0.14 xG · 5 shots

11 1. FC Köln had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

51' Said El Mala 1. FC Köln · 0.33 xG chance 1–0
90' Ricky-Jade Jones FC St. Pauli · 0.02 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

1. FC Köln FC St. Pauli

Shots: 11; 5
On target: 8; 1
Inside the box: 6; 2
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.03
Open play xG: 1.90; 0.10
Set-piece xG: 0.03; 0.04
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.95 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

16 shots · 2.07 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Köln

1.51 xG created 1.68 xGA

D 0.58 created, 1.12 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.39 created, 1.90 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 3.72 created, 1.09 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 2.22 created, 2.98 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 1.22 created, 1.81 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 0.94 created, 1.17 conceded against SV Werder Bremen

FC St. Pauli

0.69 xG created 1.80 xGA

L 0.99 created, 2.34 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.39 created, 2.26 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 0.88 created, 2.32 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 0.53 created, 1.02 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.72 created, 0.55 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 0.64 created, 2.30 conceded against FC Bayern München

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.