SC Freiburg 2:1 FC St. Pauli: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 09/11/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

SC Freiburg Home 1.02 xG · 8 shots

FC St. Pauli Away 0.53 xG · 7 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

40' Yuito Suzuki SC Freiburg · 0.14 xG chance 1–0
50' Maximilian Eggestein SC Freiburg · 0.36 xG chance 2–0
69' Louis Oppie FC St. Pauli · 0.18 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

SC Freiburg FC St. Pauli

Shots: 8; 7
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 6; 5
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.70; 0.31
Set-piece xG: 0.35; 0.20
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.02 for SC Freiburg and 0.53 for FC St. Pauli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

15 shots · 1.56 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SC Freiburg

1.24 xG created 1.35 xGA

W 2.42 created, 1.22 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
D 1.31 created, 2.54 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 0.70 created, 0.58 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
D 1.14 created, 0.89 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 0.72 created, 1.71 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 1.17 created, 1.16 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin

FC St. Pauli

0.80 xG created 1.93 xGA

L 0.95 created, 2.11 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 0.82 created, 0.69 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 0.76 created, 1.86 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 0.99 created, 2.34 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.39 created, 2.26 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 0.88 created, 2.32 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.