SV Werder Bremen 0:3 SC Freiburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 20/09/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

SV Werder Bremen Home 1.22 xG · 12 shots

SC Freiburg Away 2.42 xG · 11 shots

03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

33' Vincenzo Grifo (pen.) SC Freiburg · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
54' Junior Adamu SC Freiburg · 0.83 xG chance 0–2
75' Karim Coulibaly (o.g.) SC Freiburg 0–3

The shots behind it

SV Werder Bremen SC Freiburg

Shots: 12; 11
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 8; 6
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.22
Open play xG: 0.32; 1.47
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.08
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.43 for SV Werder Bremen and 1.60 for SC Freiburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 3.62 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

SV Werder Bremen
SC Freiburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SV Werder Bremen

1.74 xG created 2.11 xGA

L 0.53 created, 2.74 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 2.59 created, 2.10 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 2.09 created, 1.48 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach

SC Freiburg

1.69 xG created 1.33 xGA

L 2.60 created, 1.34 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.91 created, 2.11 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 1.55 created, 0.53 conceded against VfB Stuttgart

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.