SV Werder Bremen 1:0 FC St. Pauli: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 04/10/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

SV Werder Bremen Home 1.86 xG · 15 shots

FC St. Pauli Away 0.76 xG · 13 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

2' Samuel Mbangula SV Werder Bremen · 0.12 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

SV Werder Bremen FC St. Pauli

Shots: 15; 13
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 8; 6
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.56; 0.74
Set-piece xG: 0.29; 0.03
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.86 for SV Werder Bremen and 0.75 for FC St. Pauli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.62 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

SV Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SV Werder Bremen

1.37 xG created 2.44 xGA

L 0.53 created, 2.74 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 2.59 created, 2.10 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 2.09 created, 1.48 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 1.22 created, 2.42 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.41 created, 3.46 conceded against FC Bayern München

FC St. Pauli

1.28 xG created 1.10 xGA

D 1.29 created, 1.56 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 1.44 created, 0.35 conceded against Hamburger SV
W 1.90 created, 0.78 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.95 created, 2.11 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 0.82 created, 0.69 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.