SV Werder Bremen 1:1 1. FC Köln: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

SV Werder Bremen Home 1.17 xG · 17 shots

1. FC Köln Away 0.94 xG · 10 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

22' Marco Friedl SV Werder Bremen · 0.37 xG chance 1–0
90' Said El Mala 1. FC Köln · 0.02 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

SV Werder Bremen 1. FC Köln

Shots: 17; 10
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.61; 0.94
Set-piece xG: 0.57; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.18 for SV Werder Bremen and 1.00 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.20 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

SV Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SV Werder Bremen

1.24 xG created 1.41 xGA

W 1.86 created, 0.76 conceded against FC St. Pauli
D 1.33 created, 3.00 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 0.95 created, 0.58 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
D 1.04 created, 1.42 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 1.45 created, 0.57 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 0.80 created, 2.10 conceded against RB Leipzig

1. FC Köln

1.51 xG created 1.67 xGA

W 0.94 created, 1.12 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 0.58 created, 1.12 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.39 created, 1.90 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 3.72 created, 1.09 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 2.22 created, 2.98 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 1.22 created, 1.81 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.