Hamburger SV 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 20/12/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

Hamburger SV Home 0.75 xG · 9 shots

Eintracht Frankfurt Away 1.59 xG · 9 shots

11 Eintracht Frankfurt had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

19' Albert Sambi Lokonga Hamburger SV · 0.12 xG chance 1–0
26' Hugo Larsson Eintracht Frankfurt · 0.54 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Hamburger SV Eintracht Frankfurt

Shots: 9; 9
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 7; 6
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.70; 1.35
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.19
Penalties: —; —

Hamburger SV's shots add up to 0.78 xG and Eintracht Frankfurt's to 1.54; the published figures are 0.75 and 1.59.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 2.32 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Hamburger SV

1.12 xG created 1.54 xGA

L 1.09 created, 3.72 conceded against 1. FC Köln
D 0.57 created, 1.03 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 1.36 created, 1.70 conceded against FC Augsburg
W 0.98 created, 0.75 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 1.31 created, 0.71 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 1.38 created, 1.31 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim

Eintracht Frankfurt

1.21 xG created 1.36 xGA

D 0.94 created, 0.62 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.21 created, 0.16 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 1.81 created, 1.22 conceded against 1. FC Köln
D 1.59 created, 1.86 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 0.65 created, 3.70 conceded against RB Leipzig
W 1.05 created, 0.62 conceded against FC Augsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.