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Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:1 FC St. Pauli

FC Augsburg Home 1.35 xG · 12 shots
FC St. Pauli Away 2.43 xG · 17 shots
21 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 32' Danel Sinani (pen.) FC St. Pauli · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
  2. 41' Michael Gregoritsch FC Augsburg · 0.24 xG chance 1–1
  3. 59' Michael Gregoritsch FC Augsburg · 0.16 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

FC Augsburg FC St. Pauli
Shots
12
17
On target
6
5
Inside the box
6
12
xG per shot
0.12
0.14
Open play xG
0.78
1.47
Set-piece xG
0.61
0.16
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.36 for FC Augsburg and 1.64 for FC St. Pauli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

FC St. Pauli · Danel Sinani · 32' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG FC St. Pauli · Danel Sinani · 14' · No goal · 10 m · 0.52 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 15' · No goal · 13 m · 0.40 xG FC St. Pauli · Ricky-Jade Jones · 28' · No goal · 6 m · 0.24 xG FC Augsburg · Michael Gregoritsch · 41' · Goal · 4 m · 0.24 xG FC Augsburg · Michael Gregoritsch · 19' · No goal · 18 m · 0.17 xG FC Augsburg · Michael Gregoritsch · 59' · Goal · 14 m · 0.16 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Rasmussen · 72' · No goal · 12 m · 0.16 xG FC St. Pauli · Danel Sinani · 52' · No goal · 13 m · 0.12 xG FC Augsburg · Michael Gregoritsch · 15' · No goal · 13 m · 0.11 xG FC Augsburg · Michael Gregoritsch · 41' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG FC St. Pauli · Jackson Irvine · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG FC St. Pauli · Abdoulie Ceesay · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG FC Augsburg · Marius Wolf · 19' · No goal · 4 m · 0.09 xG FC St. Pauli · Eric Smith · 76' · No goal · 24 m · 0.07 xG FC St. Pauli · Manolis Saliakas · 5' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG FC St. Pauli · James Sands · 28' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG FC St. Pauli · James Sands · 46' · No goal · 17 m · 0.05 xG FC Augsburg · Samuel Essende · 90' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG FC St. Pauli · Joel Chima Fujita · 5' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG FC Augsburg · Fabian Rieder · 38' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG FC St. Pauli · Jackson Irvine · 80' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG FC St. Pauli · James Sands · 6' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Ricky-Jade Jones · 29' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Manolis Saliakas · 4' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 10' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG FC St. Pauli · Arkadiusz Pyrka · 15' · No goal · 23 m · 0.01 xG FC Augsburg · Noahkai Banks · 19' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG FC Augsburg · Samuel Essende · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

29 shots · 3.84 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • FC Augsburg
  • FC St. Pauli
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC Augsburg

0.96 xG created 1.43 xGA

  • L 0.62 created, 1.05 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • D 1.03 created, 0.60 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • L 1.79 created, 2.99 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • D 0.55 created, 1.31 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • D 0.85 created, 1.16 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • W 0.94 created, 1.48 conceded against FC Bayern München
FC St. Pauli

0.71 xG created 1.68 xGA

  • W 0.80 created, 2.44 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • D 0.30 created, 1.12 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 0.89 created, 1.88 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • L 0.54 created, 3.20 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • D 0.26 created, 0.35 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • D 1.45 created, 1.09 conceded against RB Leipzig

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Augsburg: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.