FC Augsburg 1:1 1. FC Union Berlin: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Thursday, 15/01/2026 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

FC Augsburg Home 0.55 xG · 9 shots

1. FC Union Berlin Away 1.31 xG · 16 shots

11 1. FC Union Berlin had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

45' Alexis Claude-Maurice FC Augsburg · 0.03 xG chance 1–0
90' Marin Ljubičić 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.35 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

FC Augsburg 1. FC Union Berlin

Shots: 9; 16
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 6; 13
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.40; 1.02
Set-piece xG: 0.16; 0.27
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.56 for FC Augsburg and 1.31 for 1. FC Union Berlin.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 1.85 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Augsburg
1. FC Union Berlin
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Augsburg

1.23 xG created 1.62 xGA

W 1.70 created, 1.36 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 0.96 created, 2.08 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 1.28 created, 1.63 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 0.62 created, 1.05 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 1.03 created, 0.60 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 1.79 created, 2.99 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach

1. FC Union Berlin

1.58 xG created 0.71 xGA

W 0.55 created, 0.72 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 0.97 created, 0.59 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 1.92 created, 0.81 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 1.42 created, 0.55 conceded against RB Leipzig
W 1.26 created, 0.55 conceded against 1. FC Köln
D 3.35 created, 1.01 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.