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Friday, 12/12/2025 at 20:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin 3:1 RB Leipzig

1. FC Union Berlin Home 1.42 xG · 12 shots
RB Leipzig Away 0.55 xG · 9 shots
31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 57' Oliver Burke 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.13 xG chance 1–0
  2. 60' Tidiam Gomis RB Leipzig · 0.04 xG chance 1–1
  3. 63' Ilyas Ansah 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.41 xG chance 2–1
  4. 90' Tim Skarke 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.24 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

1. FC Union Berlin RB Leipzig
Shots
12
9
On target
6
3
Inside the box
9
4
xG per shot
0.12
0.06
Open play xG
1.38
0.39
Set-piece xG
0.04
0.16
Penalties
—
—

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

1. FC Union Berlin · Ilyas Ansah · 63' · Goal · 7 m · 0.41 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Tim Skarke · 90' · Goal · 14 m · 0.24 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Oliver Burke · 42' · No goal · 9 m · 0.20 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Janik Haberer · 45' · No goal · 6 m · 0.13 xG RB Leipzig · Christoph Baumgartner · 46' · No goal · 18 m · 0.13 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Oliver Burke · 57' · Goal · 13 m · 0.13 xG RB Leipzig · Yan Diomande · 17' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG RB Leipzig · Christoph Baumgartner · 17' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Woo-Yeong Jeong · 9' · No goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG RB Leipzig · David Raum · 39' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG RB Leipzig · Andrija Maksimović · 84' · No goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Tim Skarke · 87' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Ilyas Ansah · 26' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Diogo Leite · 42' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · András Schäfer · 83' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG RB Leipzig · Tidiam Gomis · 60' · Goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG RB Leipzig · Yan Diomande · 10' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG RB Leipzig · Conrad Harder · 57' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG RB Leipzig · Conrad Harder · 80' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Oliver Burke · 14' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Aljoscha Kemlein · 44' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

21 shots · 1.97 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • 1. FC Union Berlin
  • RB Leipzig
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
1. FC Union Berlin

1.00 xG created 0.94 xGA

  • L 0.58 created, 0.95 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • D 1.16 created, 1.17 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • D 0.80 created, 1.41 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 0.55 created, 0.72 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • L 0.97 created, 0.59 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • L 1.92 created, 0.81 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig

2.23 xG created 0.99 xGA

  • W 2.77 created, 0.73 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • W 2.09 created, 1.49 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • L 1.81 created, 1.82 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • W 2.10 created, 0.80 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • D 0.93 created, 0.42 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • W 3.70 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.