1. FC Union Berlin 2:2 FC Bayern München: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 08/11/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin Home 0.80 xG · 12 shots

FC Bayern München Away 1.41 xG · 12 shots

22 FC Bayern München had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

27' Danilho Doekhi 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
38' Luis Díaz FC Bayern München · 0.03 xG chance 1–1
83' Danilho Doekhi 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.27 xG chance 2–1
90' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.25 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

1. FC Union Berlin FC Bayern München

Shots: 12; 12
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 7; 9
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.28; 1.24
Set-piece xG: 0.53; 0.06
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.80 for 1. FC Union Berlin and 1.32 for FC Bayern München.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 2.11 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Union Berlin
FC Bayern München
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Union Berlin

1.12 xG created 1.43 xGA

W 1.64 created, 1.90 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 1.37 created, 1.08 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 0.74 created, 2.87 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 1.23 created, 0.63 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 0.58 created, 0.95 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
D 1.16 created, 1.17 conceded against SC Freiburg

FC Bayern München

2.78 xG created 0.69 xGA

W 3.04 created, 0.75 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 3.46 created, 0.41 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 1.71 created, 0.39 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 2.48 created, 1.58 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 3.97 created, 0.79 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 2.03 created, 0.23 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.