1. FC Union Berlin 3:1 Borussia M'gladbach: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Friday, 17/10/2025 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Union Berlin Home 1.23 xG · 16 shots

Borussia M'gladbach Away 0.63 xG · 8 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

3' Danilho Doekhi 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.15 xG chance 1–0
26' Danilho Doekhi 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.48 xG chance 2–0
33' Haris Tabaković Borussia M'gladbach · 0.21 xG chance 2–1
81' Rani Khedira 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.07 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

1. FC Union Berlin Borussia M'gladbach

Shots: 16; 8
On target: 5; 2
Inside the box: 11; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.84; 0.49
Set-piece xG: 0.41; 0.21
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.26 for 1. FC Union Berlin and 0.74 for Borussia M'gladbach.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 1.95 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Union Berlin
Borussia M'gladbach
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Union Berlin

1.31 xG created 2.14 xGA

W 0.35 created, 1.72 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.14 created, 2.51 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 2.59 created, 2.76 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 1.64 created, 1.90 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 1.37 created, 1.08 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 0.74 created, 2.87 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Borussia M'gladbach

1.23 xG created 1.40 xGA

D 1.04 created, 0.41 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 1.82 created, 0.84 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.48 created, 2.09 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
D 0.76 created, 1.58 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 1.70 created, 2.80 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 0.58 created, 0.70 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.