Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:0 1. FC Union Berlin: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 04/10/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Home 2.87 xG · 20 shots

1. FC Union Berlin Away 0.74 xG · 10 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

33' Ernest Poku Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.53 xG chance 1–0
49' Christian Kofane Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.98 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FC Union Berlin

Shots: 20; 10
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 8; 7
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.09
Open play xG: 2.73; 0.52
Set-piece xG: 0.18; 0.33
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.91 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 0.86 for 1. FC Union Berlin.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 3.76 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1. FC Union Berlin
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1.44 xG created 1.05 xGA

L 0.71 created, 0.45 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 2.10 created, 2.59 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 2.11 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 1.58 created, 0.76 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 0.69 created, 0.82 conceded against FC St. Pauli

1. FC Union Berlin

1.42 xG created 1.99 xGA

W 0.35 created, 1.72 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.14 created, 2.51 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 2.59 created, 2.76 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 1.64 created, 1.90 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 1.37 created, 1.08 conceded against Hamburger SV

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.