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Saturday, 01/11/2025 at 18:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

FC Bayern München 3:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

FC Bayern München Home 2.03 xG · 19 shots
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Away 0.23 xG · 7 shots
30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 25' Serge Gnabry FC Bayern München · 0.52 xG chance 1–0
  2. 31' Nicolas Jackson FC Bayern München · 0.38 xG chance 2–0
  3. 43' Loïc Badé (o.g.) FC Bayern München · 0.13 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

FC Bayern München Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Shots
19
7
On target
5
1
Inside the box
11
5
xG per shot
0.13
0.06
Open play xG
1.56
0.43
Set-piece xG
0.93
0.00
Penalties
—
—

FC Bayern München's shots add up to 2.49 xG and Bayer 04 Leverkusen's to 0.43; the published figures are 2.03 and 0.23.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

FC Bayern München · Serge Gnabry · 25' · Goal · 9 m · 0.52 xG FC Bayern München · Nicolas Jackson · 50' · No goal · 4 m · 0.45 xG FC Bayern München · Nicolas Jackson · 31' · Goal · 7 m · 0.38 xG FC Bayern München · Leon Goretzka · 18' · No goal · 5 m · 0.17 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 83' · No goal · 4 m · 0.16 xG FC Bayern München · Raphaël Guerreiro · 58' · No goal · 13 m · 0.15 xG FC Bayern München · Loïc Badé · 43' · Goal · 5 m · 0.13 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Patrik Schick · 33' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Christian Kofane · 74' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG FC Bayern München · Lennart Karl · 15' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG FC Bayern München · Lennart Karl · 41' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG FC Bayern München · Michael Olise · 87' · No goal · 20 m · 0.08 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Martin Terrier · 74' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG FC Bayern München · Sacha Boey · 81' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Arthur · 84' · No goal · 69 m · 0.06 xG FC Bayern München · Serge Gnabry · 21' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Christian Kofane · 81' · No goal · 8 m · 0.05 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Christian Kofane · 88' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG FC Bayern München · Michael Olise · 71' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG FC Bayern München · Michael Olise · 72' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG FC Bayern München · Lennart Karl · 8' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG FC Bayern München · Konrad Laimer · 21' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG FC Bayern München · Tom Bischof · 21' · No goal · 16 m · 0.02 xG FC Bayern München · Tom Bischof · 36' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG FC Bayern München · Tom Bischof · 82' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Edmond Tapsoba · 7' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

26 shots · 2.92 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • FC Bayern München
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC Bayern München

2.87 xG created 0.75 xGA

  • W 2.54 created, 0.58 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • W 3.04 created, 0.75 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • W 3.46 created, 0.41 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • W 1.71 created, 0.39 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • W 2.48 created, 1.58 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • W 3.97 created, 0.79 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2.07 xG created 0.89 xGA

  • W 2.11 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • D 1.58 created, 0.76 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • W 0.69 created, 0.82 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • W 2.87 created, 0.74 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • W 3.48 created, 1.66 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • W 1.71 created, 0.72 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.