Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 15:30
Full time1. FSV Mainz 05 3:4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Goals
- 11' Alejandro Grimaldo (pen.) Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
- 24' Christian Kofane Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.09 xG chance 0–2
- 34' Jae-sung Lee 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.23 xG chance 1–2
- 45' Alejandro Grimaldo Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.54 xG chance 1–3
- 71' Nadiem Amiri (pen.) 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.82 xG chance 2–3
- 87' Martin Terrier Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.33 xG chance 2–4
- 90' Armindo Sieb 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.16 xG chance 3–4
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 12
- 20
- On target
- 4
- 8
- Inside the box
- 6
- 18
- xG per shot
- 0.14
- 0.18
- Open play xG
- 0.32
- 2.57
- Set-piece xG
- 0.57
- 0.14
- Penalties
- 1
- 1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.87 for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 2.69 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
32 shots · 5.24 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.34 xG created 1.37 xGA
- L 1.52 created, 1.36 conceded against 1. FC Köln
- D 1.95 created, 0.62 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
- L 0.90 created, 1.79 conceded against RB Leipzig
- W 2.52 created, 1.12 conceded against FC Augsburg
- L 0.48 created, 1.44 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
- L 0.67 created, 1.91 conceded against Hamburger SV
1.68 xG created 1.00 xGA
- L 0.71 created, 0.45 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
- D 2.10 created, 2.59 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
- W 2.11 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
- D 1.58 created, 0.76 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
- W 0.69 created, 0.82 conceded against FC St. Pauli
- W 2.87 created, 0.74 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.