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Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

FC Bayern München 1:2 FC Augsburg

FC Bayern München Home 1.48 xG · 15 shots
FC Augsburg Away 0.94 xG · 16 shots
12 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 23' Hiroki Itō FC Bayern München · 0.28 xG chance 1–0
  2. 75' Arthur Chaves FC Augsburg · 0.11 xG chance 1–1
  3. 81' Han-Noah Massengo FC Augsburg · 0.13 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

FC Bayern München FC Augsburg
Shots
15
16
On target
6
6
Inside the box
8
6
xG per shot
0.10
0.06
Open play xG
1.07
0.73
Set-piece xG
0.44
0.22
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.46 for FC Bayern München and 0.94 for FC Augsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

FC Bayern München · Lennart Karl · 25' · No goal · 4 m · 0.31 xG FC Bayern München · Hiroki Itō · 23' · Goal · 3 m · 0.28 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 71' · No goal · 9 m · 0.26 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.15 xG FC Augsburg · Han-Noah Massengo · 81' · Goal · 11 m · 0.13 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 75' · No goal · 20 m · 0.11 xG FC Augsburg · Arthur Chaves · 75' · Goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG FC Augsburg · Robin Fellhauer · 45' · No goal · 6 m · 0.09 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 87' · No goal · 18 m · 0.09 xG FC Bayern München · Luis Díaz · 7' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG FC Augsburg · Han-Noah Massengo · 37' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG FC Bayern München · Luis Díaz · 26' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG FC Bayern München · Jamal Musiala · 85' · No goal · 17 m · 0.07 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG FC Augsburg · Anton Kade · 53' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG FC Augsburg · Elvis Rexhbeçaj · 73' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG FC Bayern München · Michael Olise · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 4' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 57' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 79' · No goal · 28 m · 0.04 xG FC Augsburg · Marius Wolf · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG FC Bayern München · Aleksandar Pavlović · 42' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG FC Augsburg · Elvis Rexhbeçaj · 60' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG FC Augsburg · Fabian Rieder · 64' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 84' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG FC Bayern München · Tom Bischof · 90' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG FC Augsburg · Samuel Essende · 90' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG FC Bayern München · Michael Olise · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 49' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG FC Augsburg · Alexis Claude-Maurice · 72' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG FC Bayern München · Felipe Chávez · 90' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

31 shots · 2.46 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • FC Bayern München
  • FC Augsburg
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
FC Bayern München

3.64 xG created 1.18 xGA

  • W 3.54 created, 0.88 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • D 4.50 created, 0.60 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • W 4.44 created, 1.04 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 3.30 created, 1.36 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • W 1.50 created, 0.72 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • W 4.56 created, 2.45 conceded against RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg

1.02 xG created 1.46 xGA

  • W 1.28 created, 1.63 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • L 0.62 created, 1.05 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • D 1.03 created, 0.60 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • L 1.79 created, 2.99 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • D 0.55 created, 1.31 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • D 0.85 created, 1.16 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Bayern München: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.