VfB Stuttgart 0:5 FC Bayern München: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart Home 0.88 xG · 13 shots

FC Bayern München Away 3.54 xG · 19 shots

05 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

11' Konrad Laimer FC Bayern München · 0.58 xG chance 0–1
66' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.04 xG chance 0–2
78' Josip Stanišić FC Bayern München · 0.03 xG chance 0–3
82' Harry Kane (pen.) FC Bayern München · 0.82 xG chance 0–4
88' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.73 xG chance 0–5

The shots behind it

VfB Stuttgart FC Bayern München

Shots: 13; 19
On target: 1; 11
Inside the box: 9; 15
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.19
Open play xG: 0.60; 2.59
Set-piece xG: 0.30; 0.18
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.92 for VfB Stuttgart and 2.75 for FC Bayern München.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 4.49 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfB Stuttgart
FC Bayern München
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfB Stuttgart

1.66 xG created 1.63 xGA

W 1.90 created, 0.32 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 1.94 created, 1.45 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 1.49 created, 2.09 conceded against RB Leipzig
W 2.35 created, 1.93 conceded against FC Augsburg
D 1.55 created, 2.99 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 0.75 created, 0.98 conceded against Hamburger SV

FC Bayern München

2.54 xG created 0.77 xGA

W 2.48 created, 1.58 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 3.97 created, 0.79 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 2.03 created, 0.23 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 1.41 created, 0.80 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 3.03 created, 0.57 conceded against SC Freiburg
W 2.30 created, 0.64 conceded against FC St. Pauli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.