Borussia Dortmund 3:3 VfB Stuttgart: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund Home 2.99 xG · 14 shots

VfB Stuttgart Away 1.55 xG · 16 shots

33 Borussia Dortmund had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

34' Emre Can (pen.) Borussia Dortmund · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
41' Maximilian Beier Borussia Dortmund · 0.93 xG chance 2–0
47' Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · 0.22 xG chance 2–1
71' Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · 0.55 xG chance 2–2
89' Karim Adeyemi Borussia Dortmund · 0.19 xG chance 3–2
90' Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · 0.08 xG chance 3–3

The shots behind it

Borussia Dortmund VfB Stuttgart

Shots: 14; 16
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 10; 12
xG per shot: 0.26; 0.10
Open play xG: 2.84; 0.82
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.73
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.77 for Borussia Dortmund.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 5.21 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Borussia Dortmund
VfB Stuttgart
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Borussia Dortmund

1.19 xG created 0.97 xGA

W 1.44 created, 0.48 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
D 0.89 created, 1.09 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 1.58 created, 2.48 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 1.90 created, 0.39 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 0.32 created, 0.83 conceded against FC Augsburg
D 1.03 created, 0.57 conceded against Hamburger SV

VfB Stuttgart

1.76 xG created 1.22 xGA

W 1.87 created, 1.13 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 0.99 created, 0.38 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.90 created, 0.32 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 1.94 created, 1.45 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 1.49 created, 2.09 conceded against RB Leipzig
W 2.35 created, 1.93 conceded against FC Augsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.