VfB Stuttgart 3:2 FC Augsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 09/11/2025 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart Home 2.35 xG · 17 shots

FC Augsburg Away 1.93 xG · 17 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

8' Fabian Rieder FC Augsburg · 0.42 xG chance 0–1
18' Maximilian Mittelstädt (pen.) VfB Stuttgart · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
26' Han-Noah Massengo FC Augsburg · 0.27 xG chance 1–2
39' Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · 0.13 xG chance 2–2
80' Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · 0.12 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

VfB Stuttgart FC Augsburg

Shots: 17; 17
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 13; 11
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.37; 1.57
Set-piece xG: 0.21; 0.46
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.56 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.99 for FC Augsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 4.43 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfB Stuttgart
FC Augsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfB Stuttgart

1.72 xG created 1.05 xGA

W 2.11 created, 0.95 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 1.87 created, 1.13 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 0.99 created, 0.38 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.90 created, 0.32 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 1.94 created, 1.45 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 1.49 created, 2.09 conceded against RB Leipzig

FC Augsburg

1.06 xG created 1.44 xGA

L 1.12 created, 2.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 0.82 created, 1.24 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.71 created, 1.19 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
D 1.12 created, 0.58 conceded against 1. FC Köln
L 0.73 created, 2.77 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 0.83 created, 0.32 conceded against Borussia Dortmund

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.