FC Bayern München 8:1 VfL Wolfsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 11/01/2026 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

FC Bayern München Home 3.30 xG · 18 shots

VfL Wolfsburg Away 1.36 xG · 8 shots

81 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

5' Kilian Fischer (o.g.) FC Bayern München · 0.20 xG chance 1–0
13' Dženan Pejčinović VfL Wolfsburg · 0.49 xG chance 1–1
30' Luis Díaz FC Bayern München · 0.58 xG chance 2–1
50' Michael Olise FC Bayern München · 0.09 xG chance 3–1
53' Moritz Jenz (o.g.) FC Bayern München · 0.10 xG chance 4–1
68' Raphaël Guerreiro FC Bayern München · 0.49 xG chance 5–1
69' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.04 xG chance 6–1
76' Michael Olise FC Bayern München · 0.39 xG chance 7–1
88' Leon Goretzka FC Bayern München · 0.17 xG chance 8–1

The shots behind it

FC Bayern München VfL Wolfsburg

Shots: 18; 8
On target: 12; 3
Inside the box: 13; 3
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.17
Open play xG: 2.95; 0.76
Set-piece xG: 0.63; 0.61
Penalties: —; —

FC Bayern München's shots add up to 3.58 xG and VfL Wolfsburg's to 1.37; the published figures are 3.30 and 1.36.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 4.95 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Bayern München
VfL Wolfsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Bayern München

3.20 xG created 0.76 xGA

D 1.41 created, 0.80 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 3.03 created, 0.57 conceded against SC Freiburg
W 2.30 created, 0.64 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 3.54 created, 0.88 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
D 4.50 created, 0.60 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 4.44 created, 1.04 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

VfL Wolfsburg

1.46 xG created 1.73 xGA

L 0.57 created, 1.45 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 2.13 created, 1.10 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 1.86 created, 1.59 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 0.81 created, 1.92 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 1.72 created, 0.80 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 1.66 created, 3.53 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.