VfL Wolfsburg 1:3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg Home 2.13 xG · 21 shots

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Away 1.10 xG · 7 shots

13 The result went against the chances

Goals

9' Jonas Hofmann Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.22 xG chance 0–1
24' Edmond Tapsoba Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.06 xG chance 0–2
33' Malik Tillman Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.39 xG chance 0–3
57' Denis Vavro VfL Wolfsburg · 0.31 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

VfL Wolfsburg Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Shots: 21; 7
On target: 10; 3
Inside the box: 14; 3
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.14
Open play xG: 1.21; 0.92
Set-piece xG: 0.88; 0.09
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.13 for VfL Wolfsburg and 1.01 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.10 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfL Wolfsburg

1.17 xG created 1.91 xGA

L 3.05 created, 2.41 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 1.19 created, 1.71 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.32 created, 1.90 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 0.37 created, 2.77 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 1.54 created, 1.23 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.57 created, 1.45 conceded against SV Werder Bremen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2.05 xG created 1.02 xGA

W 0.69 created, 0.82 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.87 created, 0.74 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 3.48 created, 1.66 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 1.71 created, 0.72 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.23 created, 2.03 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 3.31 created, 0.12 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.