Sunday, 14/12/2025 at 17:30
Full timeFC Bayern München 2:2 1. FSV Mainz 05
Goals
- 29' Lennart Karl FC Bayern München · 0.91 xG chance 1–0
- 45' Kacper Potulski 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.19 xG chance 1–1
- 67' Jae-sung Lee 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.15 xG chance 1–2
- 87' Harry Kane (pen.) FC Bayern München · 0.82 xG chance 2–2
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 24
- 5
- On target
- 11
- 2
- Inside the box
- 20
- 3
- xG per shot
- 0.19
- 0.10
- Open play xG
- 3.79
- 0.21
- Set-piece xG
- 0.04
- 0.29
- Penalties
- 1
- 0
FC Bayern München's shots add up to 4.65 xG and 1. FSV Mainz 05's to 0.50; the published figures are 4.50 and 0.60.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
29 shots · 5.15 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- FC Bayern München
- 1. FSV Mainz 05
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
2.71 xG created 0.65 xGA
- W 3.97 created, 0.79 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
- W 2.03 created, 0.23 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- D 1.41 created, 0.80 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
- W 3.03 created, 0.57 conceded against SC Freiburg
- W 2.30 created, 0.64 conceded against FC St. Pauli
- W 3.54 created, 0.88 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
1.02 xG created 2.00 xGA
- L 1.45 created, 1.94 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
- D 1.42 created, 1.04 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
- L 0.16 created, 1.21 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
- D 2.03 created, 1.38 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
- L 0.11 created, 4.60 conceded against SC Freiburg
- L 0.97 created, 1.85 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.