Sunday, 30/11/2025 at 19:30
Full timeSC Freiburg 4:0 1. FSV Mainz 05
Goals
- 12' Lukas Kübler SC Freiburg · 0.91 xG chance 1–0
- 26' Vincenzo Grifo SC Freiburg · 0.59 xG chance 2–0
- 50' Johan Manzambi SC Freiburg · 0.12 xG chance 3–0
- 90' Patrick Osterhage SC Freiburg · 0.47 xG chance 4–0
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 23
- 1
- On target
- 10
- 1
- Inside the box
- 16
- 0
- xG per shot
- 0.20
- 0.09
- Open play xG
- 3.01
- 0.09
- Set-piece xG
- 1.67
- 0.00
- Penalties
- —
- —
SC Freiburg's shots add up to 4.68 xG and 1. FSV Mainz 05's to 0.09; the published figures are 4.60 and 0.11.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
24 shots · 4.77 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- SC Freiburg
- 1. FSV Mainz 05
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
0.89 xG created 1.32 xGA
- D 0.70 created, 0.58 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
- D 1.14 created, 0.89 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
- L 0.72 created, 1.71 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- D 1.17 created, 1.16 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
- W 1.02 created, 0.53 conceded against FC St. Pauli
- L 0.57 created, 3.03 conceded against FC Bayern München
1.23 xG created 1.83 xGA
- L 0.67 created, 1.91 conceded against Hamburger SV
- L 1.66 created, 3.48 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- L 1.45 created, 1.94 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
- D 1.42 created, 1.04 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
- L 0.16 created, 1.21 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
- D 2.03 created, 1.38 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.