What 1. FC Union Berlin have left to play in Bundesliga 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
30 matches ahead in Bundesliga
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 30 matches ahead of 1. FC Union Berlin in Bundesliga rates 3.3 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 1 of them rates easier than balanced, and 10 of them rate harder than balanced. The model expects 1.37 projected xG a match from them and 33.5 of the 90 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is RB Leipzig away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 72/99 and a defence rated 60/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Hamburger SV home Sat 05/12 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.68 – 1.25 1. FC Union Berlin win 46%
RB Leipzig away Sat 20/03 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.13 – 2.32 1. FC Union Berlin win 15%
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Open the match page for SV 07 Elversberg
Sat 10/10 Home SV 07 Elversberg Bundesliga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 39/99, defence 31/99Projected xG 1.74 – 1.42 Projected xPts 1.58- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 44%
- Draw
- 27%
- SV 07 Elversberg
- 29%
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Open the match page for Borussia Dortmund
Sat 17/10 Home Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 51/99, defence 79/99Projected xG 1.20 – 1.57 Projected xPts 1.09- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 27%
- Draw
- 29%
- Borussia Dortmund
- 44%
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Open the match page for FC Augsburg
Sat 24/10 Away FC Augsburg Bundesliga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 19/99Projected xG 1.51 – 1.93 Projected xPts 1.09- FC Augsburg
- 47%
- Draw
- 26%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 28%
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Open the match page for 1. FC Köln
Sun 01/11 Home 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 50/99Projected xG 1.54 – 1.63 Projected xPts 1.30- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 34%
- Draw
- 28%
- 1. FC Köln
- 38%
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Open the match page for SC Freiburg
Sun 08/11 Away SC Freiburg Bundesliga
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 63/99Projected xG 1.11 – 1.95 Projected xPts 0.81- SC Freiburg
- 56%
- Draw
- 25%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 18%
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Open the match page for RB Leipzig
Sat 21/11 Home RB Leipzig Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 72/99, defence 60/99Projected xG 1.42 – 1.84 Projected xPts 1.08- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 27%
- Draw
- 26%
- RB Leipzig
- 46%
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Open the match page for 1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 28/11 Away 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 63/99, defence 57/99Projected xG 1.16 – 2.16 Projected xPts 0.74- 1. FSV Mainz 05
- 60%
- Draw
- 23%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 17%
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Open the match page for Hamburger SV
Sat 05/12 Home Hamburger SV Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.68 – 1.25 Projected xPts 1.66- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 46%
- Draw
- 28%
- Hamburger SV
- 26%
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Open the match page for VfB Stuttgart
Sat 12/12 Away VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 67/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.27 – 2.23 Projected xPts 0.77- VfB Stuttgart
- 59%
- Draw
- 23%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 18%
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Open the match page for TSG Hoffenheim
Sat 19/12 Home TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 54/99Projected xG 1.49 – 1.70 Projected xPts 1.22- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 32%
- Draw
- 27%
- TSG Hoffenheim
- 41%
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Open the match page for SV Werder Bremen
Sat 09/01 Away SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 65/99Projected xG 1.09 – 1.66 Projected xPts 0.95- SV Werder Bremen
- 49%
- Draw
- 29%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 22%
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Open the match page for SC Paderborn 07
Wed 13/01 Home SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 48/99Projected xG 1.55 – 1.31 Projected xPts 1.53- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 41%
- Draw
- 29%
- SC Paderborn 07
- 30%
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Open the match page for Borussia M'gladbach
Sat 16/01 Away Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 31/99Projected xG 1.37 – 1.73 Projected xPts 1.12- Borussia M'gladbach
- 44%
- Draw
- 27%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 28%
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Open the match page for Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat 23/01 Away Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 41/99Projected xG 1.29 – 1.72 Projected xPts 1.06- Eintracht Frankfurt
- 46%
- Draw
- 28%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 26%
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Open the match page for Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sat 30/01 Home Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 73/99, defence 74/99Projected xG 1.27 – 1.86 Projected xPts 0.96- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 23%
- Draw
- 26%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- 50%
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Open the match page for FC Schalke 04
Sat 06/02 Away FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 32/99Projected xG 1.37 – 1.71 Projected xPts 1.12- FC Schalke 04
- 44%
- Draw
- 28%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 28%
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Open the match page for FC Bayern München
Sat 13/02 Home FC Bayern München Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 85/99, defence 78/99Projected xG 1.22 – 2.10 Projected xPts 0.81- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 19%
- Draw
- 24%
- FC Bayern München
- 57%
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Open the match page for SV 07 Elversberg
Sat 20/02 Away SV 07 Elversberg Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 39/99, defence 31/99Projected xG 1.38 – 1.78 Projected xPts 1.09- SV 07 Elversberg
- 46%
- Draw
- 27%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 27%
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Open the match page for Borussia Dortmund
Sat 27/02 Away Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 51/99, defence 79/99Projected xG 0.96 – 1.97 Projected xPts 0.69- Borussia Dortmund
- 61%
- Draw
- 25%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 15%
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Open the match page for FC Augsburg
Wed 03/03 Home FC Augsburg Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 49/99, defence 19/99Projected xG 1.89 – 1.54 Projected xPts 1.60- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 45%
- Draw
- 26%
- FC Augsburg
- 29%
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Open the match page for 1. FC Köln
Sat 06/03 Away 1. FC Köln Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 56/99, defence 50/99Projected xG 1.22 – 2.05 Projected xPts 0.84- 1. FC Köln
- 56%
- Draw
- 25%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 20%
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Open the match page for SC Freiburg
Sat 13/03 Home SC Freiburg Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 63/99Projected xG 1.40 – 1.55 Projected xPts 1.25- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 32%
- Draw
- 29%
- SC Freiburg
- 39%
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Open the match page for RB Leipzig
Sat 20/03 Away RB Leipzig Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 72/99, defence 60/99Projected xG 1.13 – 2.32 Projected xPts 0.65- RB Leipzig
- 64%
- Draw
- 21%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 15%
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Open the match page for 1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 03/04 Home 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 63/99, defence 57/99Projected xG 1.46 – 1.72 Projected xPts 1.18- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 30%
- Draw
- 27%
- 1. FSV Mainz 05
- 42%
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Open the match page for Hamburger SV
Sat 10/04 Away Hamburger SV Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.33 – 1.57 Projected xPts 1.19- Hamburger SV
- 41%
- Draw
- 29%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 30%
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Open the match page for VfB Stuttgart
Sat 17/04 Home VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 67/99, defence 44/99Projected xG 1.59 – 1.78 Projected xPts 1.24- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 33%
- Draw
- 26%
- VfB Stuttgart
- 41%
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Open the match page for TSG Hoffenheim
Sat 24/04 Away TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 54/99Projected xG 1.19 – 2.13 Projected xPts 0.77- TSG Hoffenheim
- 59%
- Draw
- 24%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 18%
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Open the match page for SV Werder Bremen
Sat 08/05 Home SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 32/99, defence 65/99Projected xG 1.37 – 1.32 Projected xPts 1.39- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 36%
- Draw
- 30%
- SV Werder Bremen
- 33%
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Open the match page for SC Paderborn 07
Sat 15/05 Away SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 31/99, defence 48/99Projected xG 1.23 – 1.65 Projected xPts 1.06- SC Paderborn 07
- 46%
- Draw
- 28%
- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 26%
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Open the match page for Borussia M'gladbach
Sat 22/05 Home Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 36/99, defence 31/99Projected xG 1.73 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.60- 1. FC Union Berlin
- 44%
- Draw
- 27%
- Borussia M'gladbach
- 28%
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Bundesliga.
Fixture difficulty in Bundesliga
Reads each matchup for 1. FC Union Berlin: the band is cut from the model's chances of 1. FC Union Berlin winning and losing the match, so 1. FC Union Berlin's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
number 10 hardest of 18 in Bundesliga
−0.04 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Bundesliga's average club, with no venue and nothing of 1. FC Union Berlin's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
−0.04 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · number 10 hardest of 18
- SV 07 Elversberg Home −0.36
- Borussia Dortmund Home +0.35
- FC Augsburg Away −0.39
- 1. FC Köln Home +0.07
- SC Freiburg Away +0.13
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Bundesliga and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.