xgEdge

Club

SC Paderborn 07 2026/2027

Bundesliga 2026/2027 →

SC Paderborn 07 right now

SC Paderborn 07 sit 12th in Bundesliga. A -3.06 xG difference sits behind 4 points from 4 matches, which suggests the results reflect poor underlying performances. They have scored close to their 2.67 xG, while conceding slightly fewer than the 5.73 xG against them (−0.73). It is still early: all of this rests on 4 matches.

How SC Paderborn 07 compares

Open the match page for VfB Stuttgart

Next match Bundesliga · Sat 10/10

Home VfB Stuttgart

1.58 Projected expected goals 1.66
Model probability
SC Paderborn 07
35%
Draw
27%
VfB Stuttgart
38%

Data coverage: Thin

Open the match page for TSG Hoffenheim

Last result Bundesliga · Sun 20/09

Home TSG Hoffenheim

3:1 Win

Expected goals
0.68 – 1.50
xG difference
-0.82

Won despite being out-created

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
3.0 0.0 Sat 29/08 Sun 20/09 Sat 29/08 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Expected goals 0.73 Sat 05/09 SC Freiburg · Expected goals 0.77 Sat 12/09 Borussia Dortmund · Expected goals 0.49 Sun 20/09 TSG Hoffenheim · Expected goals 0.68 Sat 29/08 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Expected goals conceded 1.23 Sat 05/09 SC Freiburg · Expected goals conceded 1.24 Sat 12/09 Borussia Dortmund · Expected goals conceded 1.76 Sun 20/09 TSG Hoffenheim · Expected goals conceded 1.50
The season so far 4 matches, as they add up -3.06 xG difference -0.77 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: SC Paderborn 07's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sat 29/08 1. FSV Mainz 05 Away 0:0 0.73 1.23 -0.50 0
Sat 05/09 SC Freiburg Home 0:1 0.77 1.24 -0.47 0
Sat 12/09 Borussia Dortmund Away 0:3 0.49 1.76 -1.27 0
Sun 20/09 TSG Hoffenheim Home 3:1 0.68 1.50 -0.82 3
The season so far 2.67 5.73 3

Finishing

+0.33

Goals vs xG

Defending

-0.73

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

+1.13

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Laurin Curda D 1.76 90 min · 0G · xG 0.49 · xA 1.27
Stefano Marino F 1.21 67 min · 0G · xG 0.59 · xA 0.62
Laurin Ulrich M 0.68 75 min · 0G · xG 0.27 · xA 0.41
Raphael Obermair D 0.52 90 min · 0G · xG 0.10 · xA 0.42
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Bundesliga 2026/2027 How the model works →