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Sunday, 22/03/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FSV Mainz 05 2:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

1. FSV Mainz 05 Home 1.55 xG · 8 shots
Eintracht Frankfurt Away 1.23 xG · 12 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 6' Paul Nebel 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
  2. 20' Nathaniel Brown Eintracht Frankfurt · 0.22 xG chance 1–1
  3. 89' Paul Nebel 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.14 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

1. FSV Mainz 05 Eintracht Frankfurt
Shots
8
12
On target
5
4
Inside the box
7
9
xG per shot
0.21
0.10
Open play xG
1.33
1.00
Set-piece xG
0.31
0.24
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.63 for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1.23 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

1. FSV Mainz 05 · Nelson Weiper · 89' · No goal · 5 m · 0.53 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Sheraldo Becker · 37' · No goal · 8 m · 0.45 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Sheraldo Becker · 84' · No goal · 9 m · 0.27 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Farès Chaïbi · 61' · No goal · 7 m · 0.23 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Nathaniel Brown · 20' · Goal · 9 m · 0.22 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Jonathan Burkardt · 19' · No goal · 11 m · 0.21 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Nnamdi Collins · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.20 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Paul Nebel · 89' · Goal · 7 m · 0.14 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Paul Nebel · 6' · Goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Arnaud Kalimuendo · 51' · No goal · 15 m · 0.10 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Paul Nebel · 35' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Ritsu Doan · 70' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Farès Chaïbi · 11' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Jonathan Burkardt · 66' · No goal · 23 m · 0.05 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Kaishu Sano · 23' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Arthur Theate · 43' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Sheraldo Becker · 46' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab · 68' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Farès Chaïbi · 24' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Eintracht Frankfurt · Ansgar Knauff · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

20 shots · 2.88 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
1. FSV Mainz 05

1.67 xG created 1.05 xGA

  • W 2.31 created, 0.70 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • L 1.52 created, 1.80 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • D 1.53 created, 0.70 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • D 0.73 created, 1.23 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • D 2.84 created, 0.98 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • W 1.08 created, 0.88 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt

1.12 xG created 1.07 xGA

  • D 0.14 created, 1.25 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • W 1.82 created, 1.18 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • L 2.35 created, 2.79 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 1.08 created, 0.55 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • D 0.41 created, 0.48 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • W 0.92 created, 0.15 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FSV Mainz 05: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.