Borussia Dortmund 4:0 1. FSV Mainz 05: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Friday, 13/02/2026 at 20:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund Home 1.80 xG · 14 shots

1. FSV Mainz 05 Away 1.52 xG · 10 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

10' Serhou Guirassy Borussia Dortmund · 0.08 xG chance 1–0
15' Maximilian Beier Borussia Dortmund · 0.15 xG chance 2–0
42' Serhou Guirassy Borussia Dortmund · 0.53 xG chance 3–0
84' Ramy Bensebaini Borussia Dortmund · 0.22 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

Borussia Dortmund 1. FSV Mainz 05

Shots: 14; 10
On target: 8; 5
Inside the box: 9; 7
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.16
Open play xG: 0.72; 0.35
Set-piece xG: 1.11; 1.24
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.80 for Borussia Dortmund and 1.63 for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Borussia Dortmund
1. FSV Mainz 05
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Borussia Dortmund

2.41 xG created 1.27 xGA

D 2.38 created, 1.58 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 2.42 created, 0.52 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 3.20 created, 0.54 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 1.89 created, 1.24 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 3.32 created, 2.26 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.27 created, 1.45 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

1. FSV Mainz 05

2.10 xG created 1.63 xGA

D 1.01 created, 3.35 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 1.39 created, 1.55 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 1.52 created, 2.08 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 4.04 created, 0.67 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
W 2.33 created, 1.43 conceded against RB Leipzig
W 2.31 created, 0.70 conceded against FC Augsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Borussia Dortmund: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

1. FSV Mainz 05 0:2 Borussia Dortmund 27/09/2025 xG 0.48 – 1.44

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.