SV Werder Bremen 0:2 Borussia Dortmund: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 16/05/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

SV Werder Bremen Home 0.49 xG · 9 shots

Borussia Dortmund Away 2.74 xG · 17 shots

02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

59' Serhou Guirassy Borussia Dortmund · 0.30 xG chance 0–1
90' Yan Couto Borussia Dortmund · 0.31 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

SV Werder Bremen Borussia Dortmund

Shots: 9; 17
On target: 3; 9
Inside the box: 5; 14
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.38; 1.90
Set-piece xG: 0.03; 0.92
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.42 for SV Werder Bremen and 2.87 for Borussia Dortmund.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.23 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

SV Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SV Werder Bremen

1.24 xG created 1.88 xGA

L 1.34 created, 1.49 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 0.99 created, 3.33 conceded against 1. FC Köln
W 1.74 created, 0.57 conceded against Hamburger SV
D 0.93 created, 1.82 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.35 created, 2.57 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 1.07 created, 1.52 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund

1.38 xG created 1.26 xGA

W 0.50 created, 0.58 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.30 created, 0.63 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 0.70 created, 2.25 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 3.37 created, 0.76 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.49 created, 2.20 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 1.94 created, 1.12 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

SV Werder Bremen: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Borussia Dortmund 3:0 SV Werder Bremen 13/01/2026 xG 2.42 – 0.52

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.