SV Werder Bremen 1:2 RB Leipzig: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 04/04/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

SV Werder Bremen Home 1.34 xG · 13 shots

RB Leipzig Away 1.49 xG · 7 shots

12 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

15' Antonio Nusa RB Leipzig · 0.06 xG chance 0–1
52' Rômulo RB Leipzig · 0.55 xG chance 0–2
90' Salim Musah SV Werder Bremen · 0.22 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

SV Werder Bremen RB Leipzig

Shots: 13; 7
On target: 5; 2
Inside the box: 10; 4
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.22
Open play xG: 1.35; 1.54
Set-piece xG: —; —
Penalties: —; —

SV Werder Bremen's shots add up to 1.35 xG and RB Leipzig's to 1.54; the published figures are 1.34 and 1.49.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 2.89 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

SV Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

SV Werder Bremen

1.41 xG created 1.08 xGA

L 0.98 created, 1.90 conceded against FC Bayern München
L 1.63 created, 0.21 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.64 created, 1.36 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.96 created, 1.16 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 0.88 created, 1.08 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 0.37 created, 0.76 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg

RB Leipzig

2.16 xG created 1.24 xGA

D 2.69 created, 0.62 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
D 1.81 created, 1.39 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
W 2.70 created, 0.55 conceded against Hamburger SV
W 2.26 created, 2.88 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 1.12 created, 1.20 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 2.39 created, 0.78 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

SV Werder Bremen: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

RB Leipzig 2:0 SV Werder Bremen 23/11/2025 xG 2.10 – 0.80

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.