VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 SV Werder Bremen: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 21/03/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg Home 0.76 xG · 11 shots

SV Werder Bremen Away 0.37 xG · 8 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

68' Justin Njinmah SV Werder Bremen · 0.08 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

VfL Wolfsburg SV Werder Bremen

Shots: 11; 8
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 7; 5
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.05
Open play xG: 0.60; 0.21
Set-piece xG: 0.16; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 1.13 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfL Wolfsburg
SV Werder Bremen
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfL Wolfsburg

1.10 xG created 2.08 xGA

L 1.45 created, 1.27 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
D 0.62 created, 2.69 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 1.59 created, 1.79 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.80 created, 3.06 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.84 created, 1.82 conceded against Hamburger SV
D 0.27 created, 1.86 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim

SV Werder Bremen

1.49 xG created 1.03 xGA

L 0.83 created, 0.46 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.98 created, 1.90 conceded against FC Bayern München
L 1.63 created, 0.21 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.64 created, 1.36 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.96 created, 1.16 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 0.88 created, 1.08 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

VfL Wolfsburg: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

SV Werder Bremen 2:1 VfL Wolfsburg 07/11/2025 xG 1.45 – 0.57

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.