xgEdge

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

SV Werder Bremen 0:3 FC Bayern München

SV Werder Bremen Home 0.98 xG · 14 shots
FC Bayern München Away 1.90 xG · 11 shots
03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 22' Harry Kane (pen.) FC Bayern München · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
  2. 25' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.05 xG chance 0–2
  3. 70' Leon Goretzka FC Bayern München · 0.11 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

SV Werder Bremen FC Bayern München
Shots
14
11
On target
3
8
Inside the box
10
8
xG per shot
0.07
0.18
Open play xG
0.98
1.04
Set-piece xG
0.00
0.09
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.11 for FC Bayern München.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 22' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG FC Bayern München · Luis Díaz · 29' · No goal · 9 m · 0.26 xG SV Werder Bremen · Romano Schmid · 64' · No goal · 10 m · 0.19 xG FC Bayern München · Serge Gnabry · 63' · No goal · 9 m · 0.18 xG SV Werder Bremen · Romano Schmid · 66' · No goal · 14 m · 0.15 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 9' · No goal · 13 m · 0.14 xG SV Werder Bremen · Marco Grüll · 47' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG FC Bayern München · Leon Goretzka · 70' · Goal · 15 m · 0.11 xG FC Bayern München · Jamal Musiala · 88' · No goal · 15 m · 0.11 xG FC Bayern München · Tom Bischof · 77' · No goal · 26 m · 0.09 xG SV Werder Bremen · Jens Stage · 64' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG SV Werder Bremen · Romano Schmid · 4' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG SV Werder Bremen · Marco Grüll · 33' · No goal · 5 m · 0.07 xG FC Bayern München · Luis Díaz · 53' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG FC Bayern München · Luis Díaz · 71' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG SV Werder Bremen · Cameron Puertas · 73' · No goal · 21 m · 0.07 xG SV Werder Bremen · Marco Grüll · 73' · No goal · 16 m · 0.07 xG FC Bayern München · Harry Kane · 25' · Goal · 23 m · 0.05 xG SV Werder Bremen · Felix Agu · 40' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG FC Bayern München · Lennart Karl · 78' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG SV Werder Bremen · Cameron Puertas · 6' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG SV Werder Bremen · Jens Stage · 47' · No goal · 27 m · 0.03 xG SV Werder Bremen · Marco Grüll · 83' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG SV Werder Bremen · Justin Njinmah · 29' · No goal · 4 m · 0.01 xG SV Werder Bremen · Justin Njinmah · 47' · No goal · 7 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

25 shots · 2.93 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • SV Werder Bremen
  • FC Bayern München
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
SV Werder Bremen

1.17 xG created 1.32 xGA

  • L 0.52 created, 2.42 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • D 1.96 created, 0.98 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • L 0.70 created, 2.56 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • L 1.83 created, 0.61 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • D 1.16 created, 0.90 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • L 0.83 created, 0.46 conceded against SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München

3.13 xG created 1.63 xGA

  • W 3.30 created, 1.36 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • W 1.50 created, 0.72 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • W 4.56 created, 2.45 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 1.48 created, 0.94 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • D 2.35 created, 2.26 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • W 5.60 created, 2.03 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

SV Werder Bremen: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.