Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 18:30
Full timeHamburger SV 2:2 FC Bayern München
Goals
- 34' Fábio Vieira (pen.) Hamburger SV · 0.82 xG chance 1–0
- 42' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.38 xG chance 1–1
- 46' Luis Díaz FC Bayern München · 0.57 xG chance 1–2
- 53' Luka Vušković Hamburger SV · 0.30 xG chance 2–2
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 14
- 13
- On target
- 4
- 7
- Inside the box
- 11
- 8
- xG per shot
- 0.16
- 0.18
- Open play xG
- 1.24
- 1.86
- Set-piece xG
- 0.23
- 0.46
- Penalties
- 1
- 0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.48 for Hamburger SV and 2.35 for FC Bayern München.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
27 shots · 4.61 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Hamburger SV
- FC Bayern München
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
0.94 xG created 1.20 xGA
- W 1.31 created, 0.71 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
- L 1.38 created, 1.31 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
- D 0.75 created, 1.59 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
- L 0.66 created, 2.85 conceded against SC Freiburg
- D 1.19 created, 0.47 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
- D 0.35 created, 0.26 conceded against FC St. Pauli
3.30 xG created 1.19 xGA
- D 4.50 created, 0.60 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
- W 4.44 created, 1.04 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
- W 3.30 created, 1.36 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
- W 1.50 created, 0.72 conceded against 1. FC Köln
- W 4.56 created, 2.45 conceded against RB Leipzig
- L 1.48 created, 0.94 conceded against FC Augsburg
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.