RB Leipzig 2:2 VfL Wolfsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 15/02/2026 at 17:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig Home 2.69 xG · 20 shots

VfL Wolfsburg Away 0.62 xG · 10 shots

22 RB Leipzig had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

52' Mohamed Amoura VfL Wolfsburg · 0.11 xG chance 0–1
70' Yan Diomande RB Leipzig · 0.22 xG chance 1–1
78' Mattias Svanberg VfL Wolfsburg · 0.29 xG chance 1–2
89' Brajan Gruda RB Leipzig · 0.04 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

RB Leipzig VfL Wolfsburg

Shots: 20; 10
On target: 10; 3
Inside the box: 17; 3
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.72; 0.62
Set-piece xG: 0.91; 0.01
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.69 for RB Leipzig and 0.62 for VfL Wolfsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 3.26 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

RB Leipzig

1.84 xG created 1.80 xGA

W 2.48 created, 0.17 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 2.45 created, 4.56 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 1.69 created, 1.26 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
D 1.09 created, 1.45 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 1.43 created, 2.33 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
W 1.92 created, 1.05 conceded against 1. FC Köln

VfL Wolfsburg

1.26 xG created 1.96 xGA

L 1.36 created, 3.30 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 1.88 created, 0.89 conceded against FC St. Pauli
D 0.92 created, 0.99 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 0.67 created, 4.04 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 1.27 created, 1.24 conceded against 1. FC Köln
L 1.45 created, 1.27 conceded against Borussia Dortmund

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

RB Leipzig: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 RB Leipzig 27/09/2025 xG 3.05 – 2.41

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.