xgEdge

Sunday, 08/02/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:2 RB Leipzig

1. FC Köln Home 1.05 xG · 10 shots
RB Leipzig Away 1.92 xG · 19 shots
12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 29' Christoph Baumgartner RB Leipzig · 0.09 xG chance 0–1
  2. 51' Jan Uwe Thielmann 1. FC Köln · 0.04 xG chance 1–1
  3. 56' Christoph Baumgartner RB Leipzig · 0.20 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

1. FC Köln RB Leipzig
Shots
10
19
On target
3
4
Inside the box
10
13
xG per shot
0.11
0.11
Open play xG
0.68
1.84
Set-piece xG
0.40
0.20
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.05 for 1. FC Köln and 2.07 for RB Leipzig.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

RB Leipzig · Christoph Baumgartner · 7' · No goal · 4 m · 0.32 xG RB Leipzig · Yan Diomande · 7' · No goal · 6 m · 0.30 xG 1. FC Köln · Ragnar Ache · 34' · No goal · 3 m · 0.29 xG RB Leipzig · Rômulo · 7' · No goal · 2 m · 0.23 xG RB Leipzig · Christoph Baumgartner · 56' · Goal · 9 m · 0.20 xG RB Leipzig · Yan Diomande · 7' · No goal · 12 m · 0.14 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 5' · No goal · 13 m · 0.13 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 22' · No goal · 8 m · 0.13 xG RB Leipzig · Yan Diomande · 75' · No goal · 18 m · 0.13 xG RB Leipzig · Brajan Gruda · 24' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG 1. FC Köln · Ragnar Ache · 49' · No goal · 7 m · 0.12 xG 1. FC Köln · Ragnar Ache · 68' · No goal · 7 m · 0.11 xG RB Leipzig · Rômulo · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG 1. FC Köln · Sebastian Sebulonsen · 69' · No goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG RB Leipzig · Christoph Baumgartner · 29' · Goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG RB Leipzig · Xaver Schlager · 26' · No goal · 12 m · 0.08 xG RB Leipzig · Max Finkgräfe · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG 1. FC Köln · Kristoffer Lund · 33' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG RB Leipzig · Brajan Gruda · 36' · No goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG RB Leipzig · Benjamin Henrichs · 38' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG RB Leipzig · Yan Diomande · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Köln · Ragnar Ache · 27' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG 1. FC Köln · Jan Uwe Thielmann · 51' · Goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG RB Leipzig · Conrad Harder · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG RB Leipzig · Xaver Schlager · 25' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG RB Leipzig · Xaver Schlager · 26' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG RB Leipzig · Antonio Nusa · 84' · No goal · 15 m · 0.01 xG RB Leipzig · Ezechiel Banzuzi · 84' · No goal · 24 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

29 shots · 3.12 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • 1. FC Köln
  • RB Leipzig
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
1. FC Köln

1.48 xG created 1.62 xGA

  • L 0.55 created, 1.26 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • D 2.99 created, 1.93 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • L 0.72 created, 1.50 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 2.08 created, 1.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 1.29 created, 2.23 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • W 1.24 created, 1.27 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig

1.82 xG created 2.08 xGA

  • L 1.77 created, 2.72 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • W 2.48 created, 0.17 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • L 2.45 created, 4.56 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 1.69 created, 1.26 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • D 1.09 created, 1.45 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • L 1.43 created, 2.33 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Köln: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.