RB Leipzig 1:3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 20/12/2025 at 18:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig Home 1.77 xG · 19 shots

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Away 2.72 xG · 15 shots

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

35' Xaver Schlager RB Leipzig · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
40' Martin Terrier Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.04 xG chance 1–1
44' Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.48 xG chance 1–2
90' Montrell Culbreath Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.57 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

RB Leipzig Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Shots: 19; 15
On target: 7; 8
Inside the box: 13; 12
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.18
Open play xG: 1.22; 2.60
Set-piece xG: 0.51; 0.06
Penalties: —; —

RB Leipzig's shots add up to 1.73 xG and Bayer 04 Leverkusen's to 2.66; the published figures are 1.77 and 2.72.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 4.39 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

RB Leipzig
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

RB Leipzig

1.86 xG created 1.10 xGA

W 2.09 created, 1.49 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 1.81 created, 1.82 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
W 2.10 created, 0.80 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
D 0.93 created, 0.42 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 3.70 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 0.55 created, 1.42 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1.53 xG created 1.13 xGA

L 0.23 created, 2.03 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 3.31 created, 0.12 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
W 1.10 created, 2.13 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 0.82 created, 0.99 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
L 1.63 created, 1.28 conceded against FC Augsburg
W 2.07 created, 0.20 conceded against 1. FC Köln

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.