1. FC Heidenheim 2:2 1. FC Köln: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 10/01/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim Home 1.93 xG · 14 shots

1. FC Köln Away 2.99 xG · 21 shots

22 1. FC Köln had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

15' Marvin Pieringer 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.07 xG chance 1–0
18' Eric Martel 1. FC Köln · 0.13 xG chance 1–1
26' Julian Niehues 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.23 xG chance 2–1
48' Said El Mala 1. FC Köln · 0.04 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Köln

Shots: 14; 21
On target: 6; 9
Inside the box: 10; 13
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.14
Open play xG: 1.15; 2.29
Set-piece xG: 0.80; 0.66
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.90 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 2.99 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

35 shots · 4.90 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Heidenheim

1.12 xG created 2.09 xGA

L 0.12 created, 3.31 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 0.33 created, 2.18 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 0.59 created, 0.97 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 2.22 created, 0.84 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 2.44 created, 0.80 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 1.04 created, 4.44 conceded against FC Bayern München

1. FC Köln

1.13 xG created 1.57 xGA

L 2.22 created, 2.98 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
L 1.22 created, 1.81 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 0.94 created, 1.17 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
D 1.66 created, 0.14 conceded against FC St. Pauli
L 0.20 created, 2.07 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 0.55 created, 1.26 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.