1. FC Heidenheim 0:3 Borussia M'gladbach: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim Home 0.33 xG · 7 shots

Borussia M'gladbach Away 2.18 xG · 16 shots

03 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

45' Kevin Diks (pen.) Borussia M'gladbach · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
55' Haris Tabaković Borussia M'gladbach · 0.23 xG chance 0–2
76' Shuto Machino Borussia M'gladbach · 0.44 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

1. FC Heidenheim Borussia M'gladbach

Shots: 7; 16
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 5; 10
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.35; 1.23
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.20
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.40 for 1. FC Heidenheim and 1.41 for Borussia M'gladbach.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.64 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia M'gladbach
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Heidenheim

1.08 xG created 1.63 xGA

W 1.24 created, 0.82 conceded against FC Augsburg
L 0.38 created, 0.99 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
D 3.00 created, 1.33 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
L 1.11 created, 2.37 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 0.62 created, 0.94 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 0.12 created, 3.31 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Borussia M'gladbach

1.50 xG created 1.97 xGA

L 1.70 created, 2.80 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 0.58 created, 0.70 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.63 created, 1.23 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 0.79 created, 3.97 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 2.32 created, 0.88 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.98 created, 2.22 conceded against 1. FC Köln

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.