VfB Stuttgart 4:0 VfL Wolfsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 01/03/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart Home 3.06 xG · 24 shots

VfL Wolfsburg Away 0.80 xG · 10 shots

40 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

21' Deniz Undav VfB Stuttgart · 0.26 xG chance 1–0
30' Jamie Leweling VfB Stuttgart · 0.81 xG chance 2–0
42' Jamie Leweling VfB Stuttgart · 0.05 xG chance 3–0
90' Nikolas Nartey VfB Stuttgart · 0.08 xG chance 4–0

The shots behind it

VfB Stuttgart VfL Wolfsburg

Shots: 24; 10
On target: 11; 3
Inside the box: 19; 6
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.08
Open play xG: 2.87; 0.57
Set-piece xG: 0.23; 0.22
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.11 for VfB Stuttgart and 0.80 for VfL Wolfsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

34 shots · 3.89 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

VfB Stuttgart
VfL Wolfsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

VfB Stuttgart

1.81 xG created 1.50 xGA

D 2.05 created, 1.71 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 1.83 created, 1.17 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 1.62 created, 0.70 conceded against SC Freiburg
L 0.88 created, 1.77 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.24 created, 1.59 conceded against 1. FC Köln
D 2.24 created, 2.04 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

VfL Wolfsburg

1.09 xG created 2.00 xGA

D 0.92 created, 0.99 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 0.67 created, 4.04 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 1.27 created, 1.24 conceded against 1. FC Köln
L 1.45 created, 1.27 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
D 0.62 created, 2.69 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 1.59 created, 1.79 conceded against FC Augsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

VfB Stuttgart: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

VfL Wolfsburg 0:3 VfB Stuttgart 18/10/2025 xG 0.32 – 1.90

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.