TSG Hoffenheim 3:0 SC Freiburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim Home 1.80 xG · 25 shots

SC Freiburg Away 0.77 xG · 13 shots

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

46' Fisnik Asllani TSG Hoffenheim · 0.13 xG chance 1–0
51' Ozan Kabak TSG Hoffenheim · 0.06 xG chance 2–0
90' Valentin Gendrey TSG Hoffenheim · 0.12 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

TSG Hoffenheim SC Freiburg

Shots: 25; 13
On target: 7; 3
Inside the box: 14; 10
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.05; 0.51
Set-piece xG: 0.79; 0.28
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.82 for TSG Hoffenheim and 0.77 for SC Freiburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

38 shots · 2.63 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

TSG Hoffenheim
SC Freiburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

TSG Hoffenheim

1.72 xG created 1.93 xGA

W 3.42 created, 0.94 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 1.55 created, 0.96 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 1.35 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 0.61 created, 1.83 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 1.37 created, 1.61 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 2.03 created, 5.60 conceded against FC Bayern München

SC Freiburg

1.26 xG created 1.29 xGA

W 2.85 created, 0.66 conceded against Hamburger SV
L 0.17 created, 2.48 conceded against RB Leipzig
D 1.16 created, 0.85 conceded against FC Augsburg
W 2.23 created, 1.29 conceded against 1. FC Köln
L 0.70 created, 1.62 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 0.46 created, 0.83 conceded against SV Werder Bremen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

TSG Hoffenheim: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

SC Freiburg 1:1 TSG Hoffenheim 28/09/2025 xG 1.31 – 2.54

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.