xgEdge

Saturday, 17/01/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim 1:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

TSG Hoffenheim Home 1.55 xG · 19 shots
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Away 0.96 xG · 8 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 9' Wouter Burger TSG Hoffenheim · 0.04 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

TSG Hoffenheim Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Shots
19
8
On target
8
2
Inside the box
12
4
xG per shot
0.08
0.12
Open play xG
1.57
0.19
Set-piece xG
0.04
0.80
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.57 for TSG Hoffenheim and 0.98 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

TSG Hoffenheim · Fisnik Asllani · 12' · No goal · 8 m · 0.52 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Patrik Schick · 41' · No goal · 8 m · 0.52 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Tim Lemperle · 61' · No goal · 9 m · 0.16 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Patrik Schick · 68' · No goal · 3 m · 0.13 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Alejandro Grimaldo · 68' · No goal · 22 m · 0.12 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Tim Lemperle · 78' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Patrik Schick · 81' · No goal · 10 m · 0.12 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Vladimír Coufal · 52' · No goal · 15 m · 0.11 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Andrej Kramarić · 78' · No goal · 12 m · 0.11 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Tim Lemperle · 38' · No goal · 21 m · 0.08 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Wouter Burger · 50' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Alexander Prass · 52' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Alexander Prass · 36' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Wouter Burger · 9' · Goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Fisnik Asllani · 15' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Malik Tillman · 24' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Andrej Kramarić · 38' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Leon Avdullahu · 44' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Vladimír Coufal · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Tim Lemperle · 52' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Max Moerstedt · 89' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Jonas Hofmann · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Ernest Poku · 41' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Albian Hajdari · 43' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Tim Lemperle · 62' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Alexander Prass · 72' · No goal · 45 m · 0.02 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Ernest Poku · 49' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

27 shots · 2.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • TSG Hoffenheim
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
TSG Hoffenheim

1.58 xG created 1.31 xGA

  • D 1.38 created, 2.03 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • W 2.08 created, 0.96 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • L 1.14 created, 1.26 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • W 1.31 created, 1.38 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • D 0.13 created, 1.27 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • W 3.42 created, 0.94 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1.72 xG created 1.50 xGA

  • W 1.10 created, 2.13 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • L 0.82 created, 0.99 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 1.63 created, 1.28 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • W 2.07 created, 0.20 conceded against 1. FC Köln
  • W 2.72 created, 1.77 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 1.96 created, 2.60 conceded against VfB Stuttgart

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

TSG Hoffenheim: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.