AEK Larnaca 3:2 Aris Limassol: xG & match report · Cypriot First Division

Monday, 22/09/2025 at 18:00

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Match report · Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca Home 1.84 xG

Aris Limassol Away 1.70 xG

32 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

AEK Larnaca Aris Limassol

Shots: 13; 10
On target: 6; 6
Inside the box: 8; 9
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.17

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AEK Larnaca

2.02 xG created 0.81 xGA

W 2.82 created, 0.44 conceded against AEL Limassol
D 2.97 created, 0.83 conceded against Anorthosis Famagusta
L 0.28 created, 1.15 conceded against Omonia Nicosia

Aris Limassol

1.39 xG created 0.51 xGA

W 1.52 created, 0.61 conceded against Apollon Limassol
W 1.06 created, 0.23 conceded against Omonia Aradippou
W 1.58 created, 0.68 conceded against Olympiakos Nicosia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.