xgEdge

Sunday, 03/05/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Cypriot First Division

APOEL Nicosia 1:0 AEK Larnaca

APOEL Nicosia Home 0.65 xG
AEK Larnaca Away 0.81 xG
10 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

APOEL Nicosia AEK Larnaca
Shots
10
9
On target
4
4
Inside the box
5
6
xG per shot
0.07
0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
APOEL Nicosia

0.97 xG created 1.38 xGA

  • W 1.02 created, 1.92 conceded against Aris Limassol
  • L 0.69 created, 0.72 conceded against AEK Larnaca
  • W 1.35 created, 2.02 conceded against Aris Limassol
  • L 0.71 created, 1.13 conceded against Apollon Limassol
  • L 0.48 created, 0.56 conceded against Omonia Nicosia
  • D 1.54 created, 1.92 conceded against Pafos FC
AEK Larnaca

1.40 xG created 1.17 xGA

  • W 2.84 created, 1.06 conceded against Ethnikos Achnas
  • W 0.72 created, 0.69 conceded against APOEL Nicosia
  • D 0.38 created, 1.90 conceded against Apollon Limassol
  • L 2.02 created, 1.62 conceded against Omonia Nicosia
  • D 1.60 created, 1.02 conceded against Pafos FC
  • W 0.83 created, 0.70 conceded against Aris Limassol

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.