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Eliteserien

Eliteserien expected points table 2026/2027

Every Eliteserien club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.

Bodø/Glimt lead on expected points with 47.05 over 21 matches with xG. That is 5.75 clear of Viking FK. KFUM Oslo sit 6 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 10 against 16 on expected points. IK Start sit 6 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 16 against 10 on expected points.

Table against xPts

  • Higher in the table than on xPts
  • Lower in the table than on xPts
  • Fewer than 3 places apart
Eliteserien: table position against xPts position Each line joins a club's position in the table, on the left, to its position on expected points, on the right. The same figures are in the Actual and Diff columns of the table below.
Lines in colour: clubs 3 places or more apart. Drawn in colour: Vålerenga IF (12 in the table, 9 on xPts), IK Start (16 in the table, 10 on xPts), Fredrikstad FK (8 in the table, 11 on xPts), and KFUM Oslo (10 in the table, 16 on xPts).

Ranked on expected points

Eliteserien expected points table 2026/2027
# Team P Pts xPts Pts vs xPts Actual Diff
1 BOD 21 50 47.05 +2.95 2 1 place below its expected-points rank
2 VIK 21 50 41.29 +8.71 1 1 place above its expected-points rank
3 MOL 21 36 37.81 −1.81 4 1 place below its expected-points rank
4 TRO 21 38 35.18 +2.82 3 1 place above its expected-points rank
5 ROS 21 33 31.88 +1.12 5 Same place as on expected points
6 LIL 21 32 30.76 +1.24 6 Same place as on expected points
7 SAR 21 25 30.35 −5.35 9 2 places below its expected-points rank
8 SKB 21 29 29.42 −0.42 7 1 place above its expected-points rank
9 VÅL 21 23 27.97 −4.97 12 3 places below its expected-points rank
10 IKS 21 16 24.99 −8.99 16 6 places below its expected-points rank
11 FRE 21 28 23.13 +4.87 8 3 places above its expected-points rank
12 SAN 21 23 22.93 +0.07 11 1 place above its expected-points rank
13 HAM 21 23 22.14 +0.86 13 Same place as on expected points
14 AAL 21 21 21.84 −0.84 14 Same place as on expected points
15 KRI 21 19 19.88 −0.88 15 Same place as on expected points
16 KFU 21 25 19.79 +5.21 10 6 places above its expected-points rank
  • Higher in the table than on xPts
  • Lower in the table than on xPts

A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.

About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show
P
— Matches played
Pts
— Points
xPts
— Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
Pts vs xPts
— Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
Actual
— Position in the real table
Diff
— Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.

Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.

Learn how xgEdge calculates these figures →

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